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FA Cup
Wrexham AFC
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Oldham Athletic

Wrexham
3 - 0
Oldham

Dalby (10'), Mullin (25', 62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Clarke (15'), Cooper (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Wrexham and Oldham Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Maidenhead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, October 29 at 5.20pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Oldham Athletic

 Having been sucked into a relegation battle, Oldham's priorities lie elsewhere right now. While Wrexham are also focused on league matters, a cup run is still desirable, and we feel that the home side will breeze past their opponents on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawOldham Athletic
55.95% (-0.588 -0.59) 20.48% (0.232 0.23) 23.57% (0.355 0.36)
Both teams to score 65.87% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.5% (-0.723 -0.72)31.5% (0.722 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.03% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)52.97% (0.855 0.86)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)11.4% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85% (-0.848 -0.85)36.15% (0.847 0.85)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.139 -0.14)25.66% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (-0.189 -0.19)60.56% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 55.95%
    Oldham Athletic 23.57%
    Draw 20.48%
WrexhamDrawOldham Athletic
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.62% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.95%
1-1 @ 8.64% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.095 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.57%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Oldham

Wrexham
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Oldham Athletic
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Oldham
1-2
Wrexham
Fondop (26')
Sheron (31')
Tozer (85'), Mullin (90+6' pen.)
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
Oldham
Sam (90')
Roberts (71'), Ferguson (79')

Hughes (65'), Griffin (67')
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
Oldham
2-3
Wrexham
Jack (79'), Boshell (71')
Eyre (44'), Holden (65'), Boshell (89')
Sam (2', 24', 62')
rhs 2.0
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