Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.