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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2020 at 12am UK
Red Bull Arena
Toronto FC

NY City
0 - 1
Toronto


Callens (23'), Castellanos (36'), Sands (72'), Acevedo (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pozuelo (90' pen.)
Piatti (25'), DeLeon (40'), Altidore (56'), Nelson (64')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawToronto
42.16%24.73%33.11%
Both teams to score 58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96%45.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61%67.39%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6%21.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6%54.4%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7%61.3%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 42.16%
    Toronto 33.11%
    Draw 24.73%
New York City FCDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.11%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2020 1.30am
May 14, 2020 12am
Mar 7, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 3
Toronto
1-0
NY City
Achara (81')
Auro (87')

Ring (22'), Sands (35'), Parks (70')
Oct 24, 2019 12am
Conference Semi-Finals
NY City
1-2
Toronto
Tajouri (69')
Mitrita (30')
Pozuelo (47', 90')
Ciman (21'), Bradley (77')
Sep 12, 2019 12am
Gameweek 35
NY City
1-1
Toronto
Mitrita (6')
Ring (23'), Tinnerholm (40'), Johnson (77'), Castellanos (84')
Pozuelo (40' pen.)
Benezet (85'), Mavinga (96')
rhs 2.0
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