Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.