Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.