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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Montreal Impact

Austin
1 - 0
Montreal

Urruti (88')
Wolff (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saliba (8'), Piette (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-3 Saint Louis City
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 CF Montreal

 Both sides enjoyed fantastic campaigns last year, but with Montreal losing key players in the off-season, we think that Austin will take the three points here. The Verde and Black will be looking to respond to last week's defeat, and we think that they will have too much firepower for Montreal.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawCF Montreal
46.69% (0.295 0.3) 22.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 30.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Both teams to score 63.29% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.44% (-0.131 -0.13)37.55% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21% (-0.141 -0.14)59.78% (0.136 0.14)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.059000000000012 0.06)16.48% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (0.108 0.11)46.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)24.21% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-0.342 -0.34)58.55% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 46.69%
    CF Montreal 30.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Austin FCDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Austin vs Montreal

Austin FC
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
CF Montreal
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Austin
Urruti (67')
Pereira (6'), Urruti (45+1'), Cascante (48'), Gallagher (60')
Pereira (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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