Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
27.56% | 26.52% | 45.92% |
Both teams to score 49.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% | 54.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% | 76.21% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.87% | 35.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.12% | 71.87% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% | 23.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% | 58.06% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |