Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
36.16% ( -3.12) | 23.85% ( -0.07) | 39.98% ( 3.2) |
Both teams to score 61.92% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% ( 0.29) | 40.24% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% ( 0.3) | 62.61% ( -0.29) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -1.42) | 22.24% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -2.19) | 55.68% ( 2.19) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( 1.69) | 20.37% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( 2.61) | 52.78% ( -2.61) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.16% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |