We said: Reims 1-0 Toulouse
With Folarin Balogun in such red-hot form, Reims will feel confident going into any game at the moment. The 21-year-old striker may well be the difference between two evenly-matched teams, so we are backing the hosts to gain revenge for their cup exit earlier this month.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
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