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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Rennes

Lille
1 - 0
Rennes

Zhegrova (45')
Mandi (40'), Alexsandro (48'), Fernandez Pardo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nagida (23'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-2 Lille
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Rennes

 Despite a number of players sitting in the medical room, we are still expecting a solid performance from Champions League-competing Lille this weekend. Rennes have endured a poor run of form against mid-table dwellers in recent weeks, so we do not fancy their chances at the home of Les Dogues in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawRennes
47.31% (0.541 0.54) 24.1% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 28.59% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.24% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)66.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.20100000000001 0.2)18.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.34 0.34)50.28% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)28.77% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.454 -0.45)64.61% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Lille 47.31%
    Rennes 28.59%
    Draw 24.1%
LilleDrawRennes
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.59%

How you voted: Lille vs Rennes

Lille
79.4%
Draw
17.6%
Rennes
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-2
Rennes
David (84', 90+2')
Bentaleb (21'), Andre (26'), Yoro (53'), Gomes (80'), Dago (83')
Blas (1'), Kalimuendo (20')
Truffert (9'), Blas (51')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 5
Rennes
2-2
Lille
Assignon (74'), Salah (89')
Matic (32')
Yoro (33'), Diakite (62')
Yazici (30'), Diakite (51'), David (86'), Gomes (88')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rennes
1-3
Lille
Gouiri (1')
Zhegrova (59'), Cabella (85'), Gomes (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 14
Lille
1-1
Rennes
Fonte (16')
Bourigeaud (58' pen.)
> Preview
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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