Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
