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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Stockport County
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Edgeley Park
Salford City

Stockport
2 - 1
Salford City

Olaofe (68'), Stretton (115')
Horsfall (19'), Camps (29'), Olaofe (34'), Rydel (66'), Sarcevic (75'), Knoyle (85'), Hippolyte (90+5')
FT
(aet)
Mallan (112')
Touray (49'), Watt (103')
Stockport win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

We say: Stockport County 2-0 Salford City (Stockport win 2-1 on aggregate)

Although they lost the first leg, Stockport County have been in exceptional form, losing just two of their last 20 games, and we expect them to get the job done on Saturday. The fans could play a huge part in helping the Hatters overturn the one-goal deficit, with tickets now completely sold out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
48.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.9% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)52.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.47% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.38%
    Salford City 25.9%
    Draw 25.71%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Stockport vs Salford City

Stockport County
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Salford City
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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