We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County
Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL.
Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.