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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Sutton United

Harrogate
0 - 1
Sutton


Folarin (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajiboye (8')
Goodliffe (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-0 Sutton United

 Sutton have struggled on their travels so far this season, and recent form has taken a downward turn, so we expect Harrogate to emerge as winners in a closely-contested game. The Sulphurites have shown some improving signs at home recently, holding second-placed Stevenage to a draw, so there is no reason why they cannot go one better and take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
35.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 27.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.03% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.96% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 35.03%
    Sutton United 37.81%
    Draw 27.15%
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.81%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (21'), Kouassi (70')
Rose (90+5')
Armstrong (45+2' pen.)
Richards (26'), Austerfield (48')
Horbury (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
0-2
Sutton
Eastmond (8'), Olaofe (78')
Kizzi (63')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Eastmond (80')
Davis (4'), Smith (74')

Armstrong (4'), Page (29'), McArdle (71')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Wilson (30')
Barden (32'), Bugiel (63')

Diamond (90+3')
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Sutton
3-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (29'), Wright (72', 87')
Beautyman (83')
Falkingham (68')
Muldoon (49'), Emmett (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815
> League Two Full Table


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