Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.