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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
42.12% ( 2.37) | 24.4% ( -0.36) | 33.47% ( -2.01) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.56% ( 1.27) | 43.43% ( -1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.17% ( 1.24) | 65.83% ( -1.24) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( 1.67) | 20.74% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.63% ( 2.57) | 53.37% ( -2.57) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -0.56) | 25.22% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( -0.78) | 59.96% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |