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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
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MK Dons

Reading
3 - 2
MK Dons

Ehibhaimha (3'), Knibbs (64'), Wing (68')
Elliott (28'), Hutchinson (49'), Knibbs (77'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilbey (39'), Dean (90+3')
Dean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Reading 1-2 MK Dons

 While Reading may play their football in the league above MK Dons, they head into the weekend off the back of a poor run of form. In contrast to their hosts, MK Dons will be full of confidence following consecutive victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum with a win in Saturday's cup tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMK Dons
40.05%24.23%35.71%
Both teams to score 60.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43%64.56%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97%54.02%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64%23.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67%57.33%
Score Analysis
    Reading 40.05%
    MK Dons 35.71%
    Draw 24.23%
ReadingDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.71%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2016 8pm
Round Two
Reading
2-2
MK Dons
 Reading win 4-2 on penalties
Harriott (68', 114')
Jaakkola (34'), Moore (81'), Quinn (81'), Williams (118')
Bowditch (34' pen.), Tshimanga (118')
Bowditch (60'), Upson (103')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Reading
Walsh (78')
Carruthers (63'), McFadzean (67')

Gunter (25'), Robson-Kanu (37'), Williams (84')
Aug 22, 2015 3pm
Reading
0-0
MK Dons
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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