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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Morecambe |
70.82% ( 0.04) | 17.39% ( -0.02) | 11.79% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.44% ( 0.05) | 38.56% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.14% ( 0.05) | 60.86% ( -0.05) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.31% ( 0.02) | 9.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.69% ( 0.05) | 32.31% ( -0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.77% ( -0) | 43.23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.52% ( -0) | 79.48% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 70.82% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.39% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |