MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 07:45:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
4 - 1
Derby

Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
Thomas (67'), Kitching (71'), Kane (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
36.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.59% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.62% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.012999999999991 0.01)30.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.75%
    Derby County 35.64%
    Draw 27.59%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Derby County
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
Bird (49'), Sibley (69')

Connell (27'), Kitching (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!