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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Barnsley

Cheltenham
0 - 4
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-3)
Norwood (7'), Kane (14'), Phillips (36'), Williams (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-3 Barnsley

Although Cheltenham claimed their first league win of 2023 last weekend, they are unbeaten in four home matches in the third tier, and we think that they will be unable to trouble a Barnsley side who have won four of their last five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
27.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 46.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)55.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 27.49%
    Barnsley 46.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Barnsley

Cheltenham Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Barnsley
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
1-0
Cheltenham
Thomas (66')

Long (9'), Sercombe (16'), Bonds (44'), Adshead (69')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
1-3
Barnsley
Holman (83')
Winnall (35', 45'), Tuton (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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