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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Barnsley

Cheltenham
0 - 4
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-3)
Norwood (7'), Kane (14'), Phillips (36'), Williams (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-3 Barnsley

Although Cheltenham claimed their first league win of 2023 last weekend, they are unbeaten in four home matches in the third tier, and we think that they will be unable to trouble a Barnsley side who have won four of their last five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
27.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 46.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)55.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 27.49%
    Barnsley 46.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Barnsley

Cheltenham Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Barnsley
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
1-0
Cheltenham
Thomas (66')

Long (9'), Sercombe (16'), Bonds (44'), Adshead (69')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
1-3
Barnsley
Holman (83')
Winnall (35', 45'), Tuton (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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