Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sevilla | 3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Espanyol | 2 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Real Valladolid | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Villarreal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
18.76% ( -0.47) | 22.69% ( -0.13) | 58.54% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -0.15) | 48.14% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% ( -0.14) | 70.3% ( 0.13) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( -0.61) | 39.64% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( -0.57) | 76.32% ( 0.57) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( 0.15) | 16.13% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.45% ( 0.27) | 45.55% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.76% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 58.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |