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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Real Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid had to come from behind to win narrowly at Almeria, and we are expecting this to be another tricky match for the champions considering Celta's quality. It would not be a surprise to see a draw in Vigo, but Real Madrid should just have enough to make it two wins from two at the start of the new season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
26.02% (-2.869 -2.87) 23.78% (-0.456 -0.46) 50.19% (3.323 3.32)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.802 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-2.123 -2.12)30.91% (2.12 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-2.565 -2.57)67.2% (2.563 2.56)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (1.32 1.32)17.88% (-1.322 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (2.223 2.22)48.67% (-2.227 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 26.02%
    Real Madrid 50.19%
    Draw 23.78%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.514 -0.51)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.288 -0.29)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.243 0.24)
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.392 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.663 0.66)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.362 0.36)
0-3 @ 4.7% (0.559 0.56)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.248 0.25)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.314 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.19%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Celta Vigo
7.1%
Draw
12.1%
Real Madrid
80.9%
141
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
1-3
Real Madrid
Mina (40')
Tapia (25'), Suarez (78'), Solari (85')
Benzema (20', 30'), Asensio (90+4')
Junior (22'), Kroos (39'), Nacho (70'), Modric (80')
Jan 2, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vazquez (6'), Asensio (53')
Asensio (38'), Nacho (50'), Carvajal (84'), Casemiro (87')

Mendez (10'), Tapia (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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