Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
63.09% (![]() | 21.22% (![]() | 15.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% (![]() | 47.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% (![]() | 69.28% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% (![]() | 14.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% (![]() | 42.07% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.25% (![]() | 42.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.92% (![]() | 79.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.88% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.56% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 27 | 48 | 60 |
2 | Real Madrid | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 60 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 52 |
5 | Villarreal | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 44 |
7 | Mallorca | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 37 |
10 | Getafe | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 36 |
11 | Sevilla | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 35 |
13 | GironaGirona | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 34 |
14 | Osasuna | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
18 | Leganes | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 27 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 25 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 63 | -45 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |