Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Cadiz |
40.11% ( -0.02) | 27.04% ( -0.01) | 32.84% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% ( 0.05) | 54.93% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( 0.04) | 76.21% ( -0.04) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.02) | 26.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( 0.02) | 62.13% ( -0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( 0.05) | 31.24% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( 0.06) | 67.59% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |