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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Cadiz logo

Almeria
6 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (48'), Arribas (51', 86'), Zaldua (57' og.), Suarez Charris (65', 71')
Suarez Charris (21'), Embarba (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ocampo (30')
Hernandez (13'), Fali (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-2 Cadiz

With both sides already guaranteed to be relegated at the end of play, the pressure being off could lead to an entertaining watch for supporters. Almeria will be desperate to record their first win at the Power Horse Stadium this season, but we feel that Rojiblancos will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
40.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 27.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 32.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (0.055 0.05)54.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (0.044 0.04)76.21% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)62.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.051999999999992 0.05)31.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)67.59% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 40.1%
    Cadiz 32.84%
    Draw 27.04%
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.84%

How you voted: Almeria vs Cadiz

Almeria
42.1%
Draw
22.8%
Cadiz
35.1%
57
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Hernandez (59')
Fede (90+10')
Fernandes (90+5')
Puigmal (9'), Moreno (10'), Gonzalez (27'), Suarez Charris (72'), Ramazani (90')
Gonzalez (50')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Almeria
1-1
Cadiz
Melero (90+7' pen.)
Marti (49')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Perez (83')
Melero (40')
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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