MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:41:58| >> :60:631:631:
Dortmund logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Aston Villa logo

Dortmund
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Can (33' pen.), Brandt (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Borussia Dortmund and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Aston Villa

As Aston Villa try to bed in several new squad members - plus some big stars who have been resting after their international exploits - they may still need time to find the rhythm that took them to fourth place in the Premier League last season. Dortmund have experienced plenty of upheaval too, but home advantage should help the German giants win their final warm-up fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 29.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAston Villa
48.16% (-0.214 -0.21) 21.85% (0.113 0.11) 29.98% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 66.96% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.36% (-0.518 -0.52)32.63% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.69% (-0.603 -0.6)54.3% (0.602 0.6)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)14.12% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)41.76% (0.509 0.51)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.205 -0.2)22.03% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (-0.307 -0.31)55.35% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 48.16%
    Aston Villa 29.98%
    Draw 21.85%
Borussia DortmundDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.98%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Aston Villa

Borussia Dortmund
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Aston Villa
38.5%
26
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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