MX23RW : Monday, December 23 14:36:58| >> :600:815377:815377:
Crystal Palace logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Southampton

Edouard (14')
Ward (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward-Prowse (37'), Armstrong (68')
Perraud (59'), Caleta-Car (67'), Ward-Prowse (75'), Walker-Peters (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

It is always difficult to know what to expect when two Premier League sides meet in the early rounds of the FA Cup, as both managers will make changes to their sides. Southampton are really difficult to back at the moment due to their struggles, though, so we have had to side with the home team on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
43.06% (1.695 1.7) 25.61% (-0.462 -0.46) 31.33% (-1.235 -1.24)
Both teams to score 54.33% (1.037 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (1.552 1.55)49.52% (-1.552 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (1.377 1.38)71.55% (-1.378 -1.38)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (1.521 1.52)22.9% (-1.521 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (2.192 2.19)56.65% (-2.192 -2.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)29.54% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)65.57% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 43.06%
    Southampton 31.33%
    Draw 25.6%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.222 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.296 0.3)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.248 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.145 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.33%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
72.9%
Draw
12.9%
Southampton
14.1%
85
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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