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Brighton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Chelsea logo

Brighton
vs.
Chelsea

Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. Everton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Wolves
Monday, January 20 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Man City vs. Chelsea
Saturday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.39%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
31.33%22.13%46.54%
Both teams to score 66.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.74%33.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.98%55.02%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43%21.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35%54.65%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09%14.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72%43.28%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 31.33%
    Chelsea 46.54%
    Draw 22.13%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.2%
1-0 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 3.78%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.33%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.85%
0-0 @ 3.22%
3-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 5.67%
2-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.76%
3-4 @ 1.06%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 46.54%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton
Palmer (21', 28' pen., 31', 41')
Fernandez (29'), Cucurella (33'), Fofana (78')
Rutter (7'), Balepa (34')
Dunk (27'), Estupinan (29')
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
1-2
Chelsea
Welbeck (90+7')
Dunk (29'), Verbruggen (81')
Palmer (34'), Nkunku (64')
Sterling (77'), Caicedo (79')
James (88')
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Chelsea
3-2
Brighton
Fernandez (17', 65' pen.), Colwill (21')
Gallagher (31'), Badiashile (52'), Fernandez (59'), Sanchez (88')
Gallagher (45')
Buonanotte (43'), Pedro (90+2')
Hinshelwood (45+6'), Julio (58'), Gross (64'), Milner (64'), Pedro (90+14')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-0
Brighton
Jackson (50')
Roberto Pochettino Trossero (43'), Ugochukwu (45')

Balepa (42'), Estupinan (45'), Welbeck (90+9')
Jul 23, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Chelsea
4-3
Brighton
Nkunku (19'), Mudryk (65'), Gallagher (72'), Jackson (77')
Nkunku (52')
Welbeck (13'), Pedro (79' pen.), Undav (89')
March (37'), Paul van Hecke (57')
Paul van Hecke (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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