The withdrawals of key attackers Yarmolenko and Tsygankov was not on Rebrov's bingo card for October's crucial fixtures, but Mudryk and Ruslan Malinovskyi represent competent alternatives for a side who gave runaway leaders England a good run for their money last month.
Revenge will be on the minds of North Macedonia following June's late collapse, but we still have faith in Ukraine to come up trumps in a tight contest and open up a healthy lead over the Lynxes in Group C.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
2.32) 
-0.85) 
