We said: Malta 0-2 North Macedonia
Despite taking confidence from Wednesday's friendly win over Gibraltar, Malta will be fully aware that Tuesday's opponents represent a significant step up in quality.
North Macedonia claimed a narrow victory in the previous meeting between the two nations, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to clinch all three points at the Ta'Qali National Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for North Macedonia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
-0.04) 
0.11) 
