MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 11:05:11| >> :600:6277585:6277585:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
North Macedonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
Italy national football team

N. Macedonia
1 - 1
Italy

Bardhi (81')
Manev (68'), Alimi (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Immobile (47')
Dimarco (70'), Tonali (75'), Zaniolo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group C clash with North Macedonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: England 7-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Italy

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Italy
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: North Macedonia 0-2 Italy

 A winning start to Spalletti's reign surely awaits a transitioning Italy side this weekend, with North Macedonia still reeling from their England embarrassment and the ongoing row between manager and absent captain. The reigning European champions should not score goals for fun in Skopje as they find their feet under the ex-Napoli boss, but they have the defensive nous required to shut out their hosts, whose star striker Trajkovski is lacking match practice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawItaly
36.09% (0.157 0.16) 26.27% (-0.215 -0.22) 37.64% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.72199999999999 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (0.91200000000001 0.91)51.35% (-0.912 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (0.79 0.79)73.17% (-0.791 -0.79)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.53 0.53)27.43% (-0.53 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.68 0.68)62.92% (-0.68 -0.68)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.461 0.46)26.54% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.60899999999999 0.61)61.75% (-0.607 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 36.09%
    Italy 37.64%
    Draw 26.27%
North MacedoniaDrawItaly
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Italy

North Macedonia
16.9%
Draw
5.9%
Italy
77.1%
118
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
Play-offs - Semi-finals
Italy
0-1
N. Macedonia
Trajkovski (90+2')
Spirovski (80')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
1-1
N. Macedonia
Chiellini (40')
Trajkovski (77')
> Match Report
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Macedonia
2-3
Italy
Nestorovski (57'), Hasani (60')
Belotti (24'), Immobile (75', 92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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