MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:11:29| >> :600:200102:200102:
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turner Stadium

Be'er Sheva
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

Hemed (9' pen.)
Elias (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Szymczak (44')
Karlstrom (68'), Marchwinski (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0-1 Lech Poznan

Like the last fixture between the two sides, we would expect this game to be tight, but with more attacking threat and an array of potential scorers, we expect that Lech Poznan will find a way to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawLech Poznan
43.05% (0.044000000000004 0.04) 25.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.9% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)69.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (0.029000000000003 0.03)54.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)63.48% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 43.05%
    Lech Poznan 31.9%
    Draw 25.06%
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Be'er Sheva vs Lech Poznan

Hapoel Be'er Sheva
17.9%
Draw
25.6%
Lech Poznan
56.4%
39
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
rhs 2.0
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