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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
71.68% | 17.68% | 10.64% |
Both teams to score 46.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.86% | 43.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% | 65.54% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.3% | 10.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.39% | 34.6% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.73% | 48.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.57% | 83.43% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 12.89% 1-0 @ 11.53% 3-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.37% 4-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.66% | 1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.68% | 0-1 @ 3.76% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |