Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
