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Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Atalanta

Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

These two sides have shared the results of this meeting in recent years and while Atalanta enter the game in superior form than the hosts, Fiorentina have not lost at home to Gasperini's side since April 2021, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
51.94% (0.188 0.19) 23.81% (-0.411 -0.41) 24.24% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.79% (1.557 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (1.946 1.95)46.42% (-1.951 -1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (1.804 1.8)68.7% (-1.809 -1.81)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.80800000000001 0.81)17.86% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (1.376 1.38)48.63% (-1.38 -1.38)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (1.251 1.25)33.29% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (1.354 1.35)69.91% (-1.357 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.94%
    Atalanta BC 24.24%
    Draw 23.81%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.24%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
30.0%
Draw
32.5%
Atalanta BC
37.5%
120
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 12am
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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2 Hungary Hungary00000
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Group B

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2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

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3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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Group E

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4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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