Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
