MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:31:28| >> :60:1630:1630:
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Internacional (Brasil)

Bolivar
0 - 1
Internacional


Villamil (68'), Bentaberry (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (16')
Rene (30'), Mercado (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Bolivar and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Bolivar 2-1 Internacional

Bolivar are expected to make it five wins from five when they host Internacional in Bolivia, with the latter's indifferent run on their travels coming back to bite them in the backside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawInternacional
56.51% (0.637 0.64) 22.51% (-0.24 -0.24) 20.98% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (0.571 0.57)44.35% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.54900000000001 0.55)66.73% (-0.548 -0.55)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.414 0.41)15.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.767 0.77)44.39% (-0.764 -0.76)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)35.13% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)71.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 56.51%
    Internacional 20.98%
    Draw 22.5%
BolivarDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.98%

How you voted: Bolivar vs Internacional

Bolivar
77.1%
Draw
11.4%
Internacional
11.4%
35
rhs 2.0
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