MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 08:57:16| >> :60:422:422:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
0 - 4
Bolivar


Carrascal (40'), Viera (89'), Gimenez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Villamil (18'), Piris (23' og.), Bejarano (25'), Rodriguez (49')
Fernandez (37'), Vaca (76'), Villarroel (83'), Justiniano (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Bolivar
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawBolivar
54.54% (-1.787 -1.79) 23.67% (0.328 0.33) 21.79% (1.458 1.46)
Both teams to score 52.25% (1.079 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (0.386 0.39)48.32% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (0.352 0.35)70.46% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)17.6% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (-0.886 -0.89)48.18% (0.886 0.89)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (1.689 1.69)36.58% (-1.691 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (1.661 1.66)73.37% (-1.661 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 54.54%
    Bolivar 21.79%
    Draw 23.66%
Cerro PortenoDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.485 -0.48)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 54.54%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.325 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.238 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.14 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.79%

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