Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Curico Unido had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Curico Unido win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.