Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 12am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara1 - 0Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Coritiba | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Ceara | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 16 | America Mineiro | 16 | -6 | 18 |
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | Juventude | 16 | -13 | 12 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 16 | -8 | 11 |
We said: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza
We expect Ceara to use their home advantage to help them record a morale-boosting victory against their struggling local rivals. However, the hosts may have left themselves with too much work to do in terms of progressing to the quarter-finals, with Fortaleza favourites to hold on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Fortaleza |
52.28% ( -0.21) | 24.56% ( -0.08) | 23.15% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
