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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Reading logo

Swansea
3 - 2
Reading

Darling (41'), Cooper (61'), Fulton (75')
Latibeaudiere (65')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Meite (26'), Ince (33')
Yiadom (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-2 West Brom
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Reading

After a heavy defeat at Burnley on Saturday, Swansea will be desperate to get back on track against Reading at the Liberty Stadium. Reading have struggled to pose a threat on the road so far this term, and we do not see that changing on a difficult midweek trip to South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawReading
55.02% (-0.809 -0.81) 23.7% (0.199 0.2) 21.27% (0.613 0.61)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)49.06% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)71.14% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-0.327 -0.33)17.7% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65% (-0.571 -0.57)48.35% (0.573 0.57)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (0.571 0.57)37.51% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (0.556 0.56)74.29% (-0.553 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 55.02%
    Reading 21.27%
    Draw 23.7%
Swansea CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 21.27%

How you voted: Swansea vs Reading

Swansea City
74.1%
Draw
17.2%
Reading
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Reading
4-4
Swansea
Joao (3' pen., 71'), Ince (61'), McIntyre (90+5')
Ince (20'), Morrison (68')
Wolf (6'), Piroe (12', 45+2'), Obafemi (58')
Downes (41'), Christie (55'), Ntcham (90'), Obafemi (90+4')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-3
Reading
Paterson (3'), Manning (49')
Laird (83')
Dele-Bashiru (4'), Carroll (30'), Drinkwater (50')
Drinkwater (74'), Swift (86'), Puscas (89')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
Reading
0-3
Swansea

Camara (34'), Stickland (87')
Latibeaudiere (16'), Cabango (60'), Piroe (83')
Naughton (32'), Williams (35')
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Reading
2-2
Swansea
Meite (31'), Lago Pontes Esteves (90+2')
Holmes (19')
Lowe (67'), Ayew (83')
Guehi (17'), Fulton (69')
Dec 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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