Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Reading |
55.02% ( -0.81) | 23.7% ( 0.2) | 21.27% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.09) | 49.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% ( -0.08) | 71.14% ( 0.08) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.3% ( -0.33) | 17.7% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.65% ( -0.57) | 48.35% ( 0.57) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.49% ( 0.57) | 37.51% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.71% ( 0.56) | 74.29% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.02% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |