We said: Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven
While PSV are simply unstoppable on the domestic scene, Juventus have proven they will be tough to defeat under their new manager.
As a result, this could be a knife-edge encounter, with Juve's solid back line and wide range of attacking talent just tipping the balance in their favour.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.