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Champions League
FC Zurich
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Qarabag

FC Zurich
2 - 2
Qarabag FK

Medvedev (4' og.), Santini (90+6')
Kryeziu (36'), Kamberi (60'), Conde (84'), Santini (97'), Okita (103'), Hornschuh (105+2')
FT
(aet)
Kady (56'), Kwabena (98')
Vesovic (39'), Medvedev (48'), Richard (50'), Bayramov (74'), Kady (76'), Mahammadaliyev (90+3'), Richard (93')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between FC Zurich and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Qarabag FK

Last Six:
    Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-2 FC Zurich
    Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League

    We say: FC Zurich 1-1 Qarabag FK (Qarabag FK to win 4-3 on aggregate)

     Both teams caused problems for one another in the final third last week and more goalmouth action is to be expected in the second leg. However, we can see Qarabag frustrating their opponents and forcing them to share the spoils on Wednesday, which would be enough for the visitors to progress to the next round on aggregate. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 55.2%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 1-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).

    Result
    FC ZurichDrawQarabag FK
    55.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 21.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
    Both teams to score 62.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    64.67%35.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    42.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.36%
    FC Zurich Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    87.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    60.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Qarabag FK Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    72.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.81% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    36.6% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)63.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
    Score Analysis
        FC Zurich 55.2%
        Qarabag FK 23.54%
        Draw 21.25%
    FC ZurichDrawQarabag FK
    2-1 @ 9.63%
    2-0 @ 7.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    1-0 @ 7.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    3-0 @ 5.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    4-1 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-0 @ 2.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    4-2 @ 2.16%
    5-1 @ 1.38%
    5-0 @ 1.08%
    4-3 @ 0.92%
    Other @ 3.23%
    Total : 55.2%
    		1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    0-0 @ 3.58%
    3-3 @ 1.8%
    Other @ 0.33%
    Total : 21.25%
    		1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    0-1 @ 4.58%
    0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    Other @ 3.59%
    Total : 23.54%

    How you voted: FC Zurich vs Qarabag FK

    FC Zurich
    48.1%
    Draw
    18.2%
    Qarabag FK
    33.8%
    77
    Head to Head
    Jul 19, 2022 5pm
    Qarabag FK
    3-2
    FC Zurich
    Kady (17'), Wadji (36', 66')
    Kady (61'), Seydayev (64')
    Kamberi (65'), Kryeziu (85' pen.)
    Hornschuh (14'), Kryeziu (16'), Aliti (62'), Selnaes (88')
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