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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
39.03% | 25.87% | 35.1% |
Both teams to score 54.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% | 49.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% | 71.72% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% | 25.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% | 59.69% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% | 27.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% | 62.66% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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