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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
59.15% | 23.1% | 17.75% |
Both teams to score 47.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% | 51.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% | 73.08% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.99% | 17.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.86% | 47.14% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.36% | 42.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.01% | 78.98% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 59.13% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |