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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heidenheim in this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
44.79% ( 0.02) | 25.66% ( -0.01) | 29.55% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.04) | 50.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% ( 0.04) | 72.4% ( -0.03) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( 0.03) | 22.48% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% ( 0.04) | 56.03% ( -0.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% ( 0.01) | 31.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.38% ( 0.02) | 67.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.79% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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