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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
23.47% | 21.1% | 55.43% |
Both teams to score 63.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.3% | 34.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.35% | 56.65% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% | 27.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% | 63.02% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.32% | 38.67% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 5.98% 1-0 @ 4.47% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.66% Total : 23.47% | 1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 3.46% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 4.28% 1-4 @ 3.44% 0-4 @ 2.66% 2-4 @ 2.22% 1-5 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |