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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-3 (6.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
23.25% | 20.66% | 56.09% |
Both teams to score 64.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.54% | 54.46% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% | 26.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% | 61.84% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.23% | 11.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.04% | 36.95% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.77% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 23.25% | 1-1 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 3.13% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 4.48% 1-4 @ 3.62% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.8% Total : 56.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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