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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Leipzig logo

Augsburg
2 - 2
RB Leipzig

Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig

Leipzig have scored 13 goals in their last four meetings with Augsburg and snatched a draw from the jaws of defeat on their last trip to the WWK Arena, recovering from 3-0 down to draw 3-3. After conceding 13 goals in their last five away games in all competitions, a similar game could play out here, and last week's win may give Leipzig added confidence which could see them edge this encounter against an Augsburg side who need to get themselves out of a rut sooner rather than later. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
19.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.01% (-0.02 -0.02) 60.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.6% (0.079999999999998 0.08)35.4% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56% (0.088000000000001 0.09)57.44% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)31.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.31% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.96% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 19.15%
    RB Leipzig 60.84%
    Draw 20.01%
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.15%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.01%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 60.84%

How you voted: Augsburg vs RB Leipzig

Augsburg
16.9%
Draw
15.3%
RB Leipzig
67.8%
59
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
3-0
Augsburg
Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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