MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 15:40:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fortaleza

Vasco
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Sao Paulo
Saturday, October 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-2 Fortaleza

There are plenty of incentives for both teams to claim maximum points on Thursday, with the hosts seeking to move out of the drop zone and the visitors hoping to force their way into the top four. Fortaleza came out on top the last time that these two teams met, and we believe that they have enough quality throughout their side to claim another victory in Rio de Janeiro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
44.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.71% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.7% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.29% (0.040999999999997 0.04)59.7% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.032 0.03)80.01% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.77% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.060000000000002 0.06)62.05% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)37.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)74.37% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.41%
    Fortaleza 27.71%
    Draw 27.86%
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 13.26%
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.71%

How you voted: Vasco vs Fortaleza

Vasco da Gama
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Fortaleza
44.0%
25
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
2-0
Vasco
Galhardo (87'), Romero (90+4')
Hercules (42'), Ricardo (90+1'), Pikachu (90+7')

Capasso (5')
Feb 10, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
3-0
Vasco
Torres (7'), David (44'), Romarinho (63')
Dias (66'), Juninho (77')

Alves (31'), Castan (60'), Tenorio (75')
Nov 19, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 16
Vasco
0-0
Fortaleza
Alves (32'), Matos (39')
Oct 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 25
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Pikachu (68' pen.)
Henriquez (73'), Bastos (95')

Osvaldo (58'), Adalberto (66'), Paulista (73'), Dias (75')
Dias (79')
May 26, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 6
Fortaleza
1-1
Vasco
Romarinho (89')
Romarinho (90')
Pikachu (71' pen.)
Mineiro (39'), Raul (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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