Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos1 - 2Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Santos
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
29% ( -0.49) | 27.12% ( -0.04) | 43.89% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 48.55% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% ( -0.03) | 56.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( -0.03) | 77.44% ( 0.03) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% ( -0.39) | 34.8% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.47% ( -0.42) | 71.53% ( 0.41) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.26) | 25.54% ( -0.26) |